Sport Picks
Samambaia vs Brasiliense
Brazil
Brasiliense Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Serejao), Taguatinga 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Brasiliense game between Samambaia and Brasiliense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasiliense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Brasiliense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Samambaia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Brasiliense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samambaia | Brasiliense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.4 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.40 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samambaia Compare
Brasiliense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Samambaia scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Samambaia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Brasiliense conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Samambaia
(Home)Brasiliense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia FC (DF) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | 3 |