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Samaritaine vs Diamantinoise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
48%
Diamantinoise
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diamantinoise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Diamantinoise haven't matched Samaritaine's recent run of results.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Samaritaine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Samaritaine have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
Diamantinoise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Diamantinoise
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 16 3
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 2.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Diamantinoise
7:0
Dec 10, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Diamantinoise vs Samaritaine
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Diamantinoise vs Samaritaine
0:3
Nov 25, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Diamantinoise
4:1
Apr 23, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Diamantinoise
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 49 / 100
Diamantinoise 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Diamantinoise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diamantinoise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Samaritaine scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Diamantinoise lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
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Diamantinoise

(Away)
17 May
Espoir
4 : 2
Diamantinoise
10 May
Diamantinoise
2 : 5
Golden Lion
03 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 9
Diamantinoise
30 Apr
Golden Star
5 : 0
Diamantinoise
12 Apr
Diamantinoise
0 : 3
Franciscain
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