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Samaritaine vs New Club

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024 game between Samaritaine and New Club finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
48%
New Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • New Club haven't matched Samaritaine's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Samaritaine's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samaritaine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
New Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine New Club
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 2 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Club vs Samaritaine
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs New Club
5:0
Apr 21, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs New Club
1:0
Dec 2, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Club vs Samaritaine
0:0
Nov 26, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs New Club
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 42 / 100
New Club 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine New Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Samaritaine's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

New Club's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
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New Club

(Away)
17 May
Trenelle
2 : 1
New Club
10 May
New Club
2 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
03 May
Club Peleen
6 : 0
New Club
26 Apr
New Club
2 : 1
Espoir
12 Apr
Golden Lion
3 : 0
New Club
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