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Samaritaine vs RC Riviere-Pilote

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019 game between Samaritaine and RC Riviere-Pilote finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Samaritaine
35%
Draws
46%
RC Riviere-Pilote
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RC Riviere-Pilote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samaritaine come out ahead of RC Riviere-Pilote on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samaritaine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
RC Riviere-Pilote Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine RC Riviere-Pilote
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs RC Riviere-Pilote
5:1
Feb 9, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Riviere-Pilote vs Samaritaine
0:2
Oct 26, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Riviere-Pilote vs Samaritaine
1:0
Feb 9, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs RC Riviere-Pilote
2:0
Sep 29, 2018 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Riviere-Pilote vs Samaritaine
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 32 / 100
RC Riviere-Pilote 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine RC Riviere-Pilote

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samaritaine scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: RC Riviere-Pilote conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Samaritaine stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS RC Riviere-Pilote
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
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RC Riviere-Pilote

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Riviere-Pilote
0 : 1
Golden Lion
05 Sept
Assaut
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
21 May
RC Saint Joseph
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
14 May
RC Riviere-Pilote
1 : 3
Diamantinoise
07 May
RC Riviere-Pilote
2 : 1
Eclair de Riviere-Salee
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