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Samaritaine vs Stade Spiritain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024 game between Samaritaine and Stade Spiritain finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
48%
Stade Spiritain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Spiritain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Samaritaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Samaritaine's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Spiritain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Stade Spiritain
Matches Played 42 26
Wins 21 4
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.17 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.02 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Stade Spiritain
4:1
Nov 8, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Stade Spiritain vs Samaritaine
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 76 / 100
Stade Spiritain 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Stade Spiritain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Spiritain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Samaritaine found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (42 games).

Difficult form: Stade Spiritain registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
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Stade Spiritain

(Away)
18 May
Stade Spiritain
2 : 5
Franciscain
11 May
CS Case-Pilote
2 : 3
Stade Spiritain
04 May
US Riveraine
2 : 1
Stade Spiritain
27 Apr
Stade Spiritain
1 : 2
Golden Lion
20 Apr
Club Peleen
2 : 0
Stade Spiritain
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