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Samaritaine vs Vauclinois

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024 game between Samaritaine and Vauclinois finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
60%
Vauclinois
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vauclinois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vauclinois haven't matched Samaritaine's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Samaritaine a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
Vauclinois Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Vauclinois
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.84 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Vauclinois
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Vauclinois vs Samaritaine
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 42 / 100
Vauclinois 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Vauclinois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vauclinois let in goals in 92% of their last 26 matches.

Samaritaine's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vauclinois's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
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Vauclinois

(Away)
18 May
Vauclinois
2 : 4
CS Case-Pilote
11 May
Samaritaine
2 : 1
Vauclinois
04 May
Vauclinois
0 : 4
RC Saint Joseph
27 Apr
New Club
1 : 2
Vauclinois
20 Apr
Vauclinois
2 : 0
Diamantinoise
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