Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samas vs AA Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 game between Samas and AA Iguacu finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AA Iguacu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Samas
20%
Draws
58%
AA Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AA Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AA Iguacu come out ahead of Samas on wins alone.
  • Model gives AA Iguacu a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Samas Clean Sheet 16%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samas AA Iguacu
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Paranaense 3
AA Iguacu vs Samas
2:0
Jul 26, 2026 Paranaense 3
Samas vs AA Iguacu
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samas 23 / 100
AA Iguacu 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samas AA Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Iguacu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Samas scored in 33% of their last 6 outings.

AA Iguacu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Samas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samas VS AA Iguacu
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samas

(Home)
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
22 Aug
Samas
1 : 2
Hope Internacional
15 Aug
Samas
3 : 2
Iraty
08 Aug
Hope Internacional
1 : 0
Samas
01 Aug
Iraty
1 : 0
Samas
Page 1 of 2

AA Iguacu

(Away)
26 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
0 : 0
AA Iguacu
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AA Iguacu 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Hope Internacional 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Iraty 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Samas 6 1 0 5 4:10 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana S.T.C. 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
2 CA Cambe 6 3 1 2 3:3 10
3 City London 6 3 0 3 6:3 9
4 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeste Brasil 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Uniao PR 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Campo Mourao 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams