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Stadium Background

Sambenedettese vs Atalanta U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Levak S.
29'
Levak S.
36'
Zini A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Sambenedettese and Atalanta U23 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sambenedettese
15%
Draws
59%
Atalanta U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Atalanta U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atalanta U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 17%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Atalanta U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Atalanta U23
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambenedettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Camigliano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicoli S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levak S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diao S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 23 / 100
Atalanta U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Atalanta U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U23 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sambenedettese found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Sambenedettese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Atalanta U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
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Atalanta U23

(Away)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)