Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sambenedettese vs Celano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sambenedettese in this Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sambenedettese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sambenedettese
20%
Draws
7%
Celano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sambenedettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sambenedettese lately — more wins on the board than Celano.
  • Sambenedettese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 20%
Celano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Celano
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.93 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Celano
3:0
Sep 21, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Sambenedettese
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 67 / 100
Celano 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Celano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambenedettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sambenedettese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Celano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
16 Aug
Pescara
0 : 1
Sambenedettese
08 Aug
Sambenedettese
4 : 0
Lanciano
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5
Avellino
26 Apr
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Sambenedettese
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Celano

(Away)
10 May
Celano
0 : 1
Vis Pesaro
03 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Celano
26 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Campobasso
19 Apr
Fermana
1 : 0
Celano
12 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maceratese 34 22 12 0 61:22 78
2 Fano 34 22 8 4 60:25 74
3 Sambenedettese 34 18 9 7 71:40 63
4 Campobasso 34 15 12 7 49:42 57
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 13 8 59:46 52
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 14 8 52:46 50
7 Civitanovese Calcio 34 13 11 10 56:51 50
8 Matelica 34 11 12 11 36:34 45
9 Giulianova 34 10 15 9 44:43 45
10 Fermana 34 11 9 14 37:44 42
11 Jesina 34 10 12 12 40:38 42
12 Termoli 34 10 9 15 31:53 39
13 Recanatese 34 9 12 13 37:44 39
14 Amiternina 34 9 11 14 30:45 38
15 Castelfidardo 34 7 10 17 25:49 31
16 Agnonese 34 8 7 19 31:51 31
17 Vis Pesaro 34 6 11 17 35:45 29
18 Celano 34 4 5 25 23:59 17
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 (Play Out)