Sport Picks
Sambenedettese vs Spezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mazzocchi S.
22'
22'
Sub
Florenzi A. In: Limonelli C.
Out: Florenzi A.
33'
33'
Sgarbi L.
Assist: Plicco E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B game between Sambenedettese and Spezia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spezia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spezia come out ahead of Sambenedettese on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Spezia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Spezia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 10%
Spezia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Spezia
1:2
Aug 4, 2018 Coppa Italia
Spezia vs Sambenedettese
2:1
Jan 22, 2006 Lega Pro C1/A
Spezia vs Sambenedettese
1:0
Sep 11, 2005 Lega Pro C1/A
Sambenedettese vs Spezia
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sambenedettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Sgarbi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bright K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sambenedettese 10 / 100
Spezia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sambenedettese Spezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sambenedettese scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Spezia let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Sambenedettese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sambenedettese VS Spezia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sambenedettese
(Home) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Sambenedettese
2 : 2 Forli FC
08 Aug
Sambenedettese
4 : 0 Lanciano FC
Page 1 of 3
Spezia
(Away) 04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1 Spezia
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2 Spezia
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1 Spezia
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2 Spezia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1 Spezia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Livorno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Perugia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Guidonia 1937 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 8 | Campobasso | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sassari Torres | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 10 | Pescara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Forli FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 10 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Ostiamare | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Vado | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Gubbio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 17 | Latina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Pianese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
