Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sambenedettese vs Vastese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Cardella F.

AI Match Summary

Sambenedettese in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sambenedettese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sambenedettese
15%
Draws
85%
Vastese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vastese lately — more wins on the board than Sambenedettese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 21%
Vastese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Vastese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Vastese
1:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Sambenedettese
1:0
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Vastese
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Sambenedettese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambenedettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardella F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Vastese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 37 / 100
Vastese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Vastese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vastese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Vastese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sambenedettese's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Vastese
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Spezia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2
Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

Vastese

(Away)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)