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Sambiase vs Gela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sueva G.
81' Event
Luigi F.
90' Event
Berto N.

AI Match Summary

Sambiase in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sambiase.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sambiase
30%
Draws
23%
Gela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sambiase lately — more wins on the board than Gela.
  • Model gives Sambiase a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sambiase have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%
Gela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambiase Gela
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Gela
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Gela
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Sambiase
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Sueva G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luigi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gela Compare

Top Goalscorer Berto N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambiase 77 / 100
Gela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambiase Gela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gela let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Sambiase found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sambiase stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sambiase VS Gela
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambiase

(Home)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 7

Gela

(Away)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Gela
0 : 0
Enna
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)