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Sambiase vs Lamezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bruno Cosendey

AI Match Summary

Lamezia in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lamezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sambiase
20%
Draws
23%
Lamezia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lamezia haven't matched Sambiase's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sambiase's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambiase Lamezia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Lamezia
4:1
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Lamezia
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Sambiase
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambiase Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lamezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Cosendey
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambiase 95 / 100
Lamezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambiase Lamezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambiase's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lamezia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sambiase remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sambiase VS Lamezia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambiase

(Home)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
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Lamezia

(Away)
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0
Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)