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Sambiase vs Nissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
De Felice F.
(Penalty)
59'
Haberkon V.
68' Event
Ortolini R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sambiase
30%
Draws
23%
Nissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sambiase haven't matched Nissa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sambiase's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%
Nissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambiase Nissa
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Nissa
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Sambiase
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Sambiase
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Nissa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortolini R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nissa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambiase 86 / 100
Nissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambiase Nissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sambiase scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sambiase stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sambiase VS Nissa
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambiase

(Home)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 7

Nissa

(Away)
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)