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Sambiase vs Reggina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ferraro L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Sambiase and Reggina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sambiase
15%
Draws
40%
Reggina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Reggina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Reggina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 10%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambiase Reggina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Sambiase
4:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Reggina
0:1
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sambiase vs Reggina
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Reggina
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Sambiase
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambiase Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferraro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambiase 34 / 100
Reggina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambiase Reggina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambiase's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Sambiase remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Reggina conceded in 37% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sambiase VS Reggina
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambiase

(Home)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
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Reggina

(Away)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)