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Sambiase vs Trapani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sambiase host Trapani in the Serie D - Group I. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Sambiase at 1.16 goals for, 0.9 against; Trapani at 0.9 for, 1.76 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.44 - 0.88) back Sambiase to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sambiase
15%
Draws
32%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sambiase carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Sambiase taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 20%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambiase Trapani
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambiase 85 / 100
Trapani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambiase Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambiase found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Trapani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sambiase stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Trapani's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sambiase VS Trapani
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambiase

(Home)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 7

Trapani

(Away)
07 Oct
Trapani
1 : 2
Licata
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)