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Sambonifacese vs Alghero

Italy Italy

Serie C2/A 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/A 2009/2010 game between Sambonifacese and Alghero finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sambonifacese
15%
Draws
64%
Alghero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alghero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alghero come out ahead of Sambonifacese on wins alone.
  • Sambonifacese are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sambonifacese Clean Sheet 20%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambonifacese Alghero
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.07
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Sambonifacese vs Alghero
1:1
Nov 8, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Sambonifacese
2:1
Apr 19, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Sambonifacese vs Alghero
1:2
Nov 23, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Sambonifacese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambonifacese 49 / 100
Alghero 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambonifacese Alghero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambonifacese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambonifacese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Alghero's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alghero has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sambonifacese VS Alghero
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambonifacese

(Home)
04 May
Sambonifacese
2 : 4
Pro Sesto
27 Apr
Caravaggio
1 : 1
Sambonifacese
17 Apr
Pro Piacenza
2 : 0
Sambonifacese
13 Apr
Sambonifacese
0 : 2
Lecco
06 Apr
MapelloBonate
4 : 3
Sambonifacese
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Alghero

(Away)
11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0
Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0
Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0
Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0
Alghero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudtirol 34 18 9 7 33:23 63
2 Spezia 34 16 12 6 47:27 60
3 Legnano 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
4 Alghero 34 15 12 7 43:25 57
5 FeralpiSalo 34 14 15 5 41:32 57
6 Pavia 34 15 12 7 49:32 57
7 Rodengo Saiano 34 12 14 8 40:32 50
8 Crociati 34 9 15 10 36:37 42
9 Olbia 34 8 18 8 32:27 42
10 Sambonifacese 34 10 12 12 44:46 42
11 Valenzana 34 9 14 11 24:29 41
12 Pro Vercelli 34 11 8 15 31:37 41
13 Canavese 34 9 13 12 31:39 40
14 Mezzocorona 34 11 6 17 42:46 39
15 Villacidrese 34 10 9 15 38:43 39
16 Carpenedolo 34 9 8 17 34:50 35
17 Pro Belvedere V. 34 5 13 16 15:39 28
18 Pro Sesto 34 5 7 22 24:58 22
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)