Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Chiatura finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samegrelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Samegrelo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Samegrelo's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 10%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samegrelo | Chiatura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 39 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 12, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Chiatura
2:1
Jun 18, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Samegrelo
2:0
Jul 24, 2017 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Samegrelo
3:1
May 22, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Chiatura
0:0
Mar 24, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chiatura vs Samegrelo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samegrelo 83 / 100
Chiatura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samegrelo Chiatura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samegrelo scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
Chiatura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 39 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Chiatura's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Samegrelo VS Chiatura
2 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Samegrelo
(Home) 07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3 Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3 Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1 Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0 FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0 Samegrelo
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07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3 Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3 Didube
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0 FC Kolkheti Khobi
12 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 1 Chiatura
29 Oct
Samegrelo
5 : 0 Mark Stars Tbilisi
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Chiatura
(Away) 02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1 Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0 Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0 Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1 Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0 Chiatura
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02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1 Chiatura
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0 Chiatura
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0 Chiatura
21 Oct
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 0 Chiatura
08 Oct
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
1 : 0 Chiatura
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shevardeni Tbilisi | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 36:19 | 37 |
| 2 | Telavi | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 39:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Mark Stars Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 31:29 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Gardabani | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 6 | Gori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Algeti Marneuli | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | 23 |
| 8 | Borjomi | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Chkherimela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 10 | Liakhvi Tskhinvali | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17:47 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiatura | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:14 | 40 |
| 2 | Khoni | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 20:10 | 33 |
| 3 | FC Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Betlemi Keda | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 34:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Samegrelo | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Sulori Vani | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Margveti 2006 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 8 | Skuri Tsalenjikha | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Odishi 1919 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Sapovnela Terjola | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 7:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
