Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samegrelo vs Khoni

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Khoni finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samegrelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Samegrelo
15%
Draws
42%
Khoni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samegrelo come out ahead of Khoni on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
Khoni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Khoni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2018 Liga 3
Khoni vs Samegrelo
1:1
Jun 9, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Khoni
2:4
Jul 16, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Khoni
3:0
May 16, 2017 Liga 3
Khoni vs Samegrelo
0:0
Apr 4, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Khoni vs Samegrelo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 31 / 100
Khoni 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Khoni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Khoni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Khoni registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samegrelo VS Khoni
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 6

Khoni

(Away)
27 Aug
Khoni
1 : 2
Dila Gori
06 Dec
Khoni
2 : 1
Sulori Vani
29 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 2
Khoni
22 Nov
Khoni
1 : 4
Algeti Marneuli
12 Nov
Gori
1 : 0
Khoni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)