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Samegrelo vs Sulori Vani

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Sulori Vani finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samegrelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Samegrelo
28%
Draws
22%
Sulori Vani
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Samegrelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Samegrelo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samegrelo here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
Sulori Vani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Sulori Vani
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Sulori Vani
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Liga 3
Sulori Vani vs Samegrelo
0:3
Jun 14, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Sulori Vani
2:0
Apr 2, 2017 Liga 3
Sulori Vani vs Samegrelo
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 49 / 100
Sulori Vani 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Sulori Vani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Sulori Vani conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Sulori Vani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samegrelo VS Sulori Vani
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shevardeni Tbilisi18121536:1937
2Telavi18105330:1835
3Merani Tbilisi18103539:2433
4Mark Stars Tbilisi1867531:2925
5FC Gardabani1865726:2423
6Gori1865726:2423
7Algeti Marneuli1865725:2723
8Borjomi1864816:2122
9Chkherimela1846818:3118
10Liakhvi Tskhinvali18231317:479
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chiatura18124232:1440
2Khoni1896320:1033
3FC Kolkheti Khobi1885525:1829
4Betlemi Keda1877434:2028
5Samegrelo1869320:1427
6Sulori Vani1873820:1924
7Margveti 20061856721:2821
8Skuri Tsalenjikha1845916:2717
9Odishi 191918351013:2714
10Sapovnela Terjola1816117:319