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Samegrelo vs Sulori Vani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Sulori Vani finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samegrelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Samegrelo
15%
Draws
42%
Sulori Vani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Samegrelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Samegrelo a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samegrelo here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
Sulori Vani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Sulori Vani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Sulori Vani
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Liga 3
Sulori Vani vs Samegrelo
0:3
Jun 14, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Sulori Vani
2:0
Apr 2, 2017 Liga 3
Sulori Vani vs Samegrelo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 49 / 100
Sulori Vani 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Sulori Vani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sulori Vani conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Sulori Vani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samegrelo VS Sulori Vani
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
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Sulori Vani

(Away)
06 Jul
Sulori Vani
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
06 Dec
Khoni
2 : 1
Sulori Vani
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0
Mark Stars Tbilisi
21 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Sulori Vani
13 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0
FC Zugdidi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)