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Samger vs Gambia Ports

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ndow T.
43' Event
Manneh I.

AI Match Summary

Samger in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Samger
20%
Draws
38%
Gambia Ports
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Samger haven't matched Gambia Ports's recent run of results.
  • Samger are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%
Gambia Ports Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samger Gambia Ports
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 14 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Gambia Ports
2:0
Dec 22, 2025 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Samger
1:0
May 21, 2022 GFA League
Samger vs Gambia Ports
0:1
Feb 14, 2022 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Samger
0:1
Apr 17, 2019 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Samger
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samger Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndow T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manneh I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gambia Ports Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samger 51 / 100
Gambia Ports 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samger Gambia Ports

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Samger remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Samger's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gambia Ports's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Samger VS Gambia Ports
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830