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Samgurali II vs Chiatura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2018 game between Samgurali II and Chiatura finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samgurali II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Samgurali II
20%
Draws
20%
Chiatura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samgurali II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samgurali II come out ahead of Chiatura on wins alone.
  • Samgurali II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 17%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali II Chiatura
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.2 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs Chiatura
2:1
May 29, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Samgurali II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali II 84 / 100
Chiatura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali II Chiatura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samgurali II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samgurali II scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Chiatura has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Chiatura has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali II VS Chiatura
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali II

(Home)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
Page 1 of 6

Chiatura

(Away)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)