Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samgurali vs Dila Gori

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Samgurali Logo

Samgurali

1 - 3
FT
Dila Gori Logo

Dila Gori

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sanyang M.
Assist: Kante M.
23' Event
Shekiladze S.
Assist: Sanyang M.
46'
Sub
Tsetskhladze N. In: Krasovski D.
Out: Tsetskhladze N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dila Gori in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dila Gori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Samgurali
20%
Draws
57%
Dila Gori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dila Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dila Gori lately — more wins on the board than Samgurali.
  • Dila Gori are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dila Gori here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 13%
Dila Gori Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali Dila Gori
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dila Gori
1:3
Aug 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:1
May 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:3
Apr 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dila Gori
0:1
Nov 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Claudio Cebolinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dila Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanyang M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shekiladze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 19 / 100
Dila Gori 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali Dila Gori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dila Gori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Samgurali found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Dila Gori has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Samgurali went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS Dila Gori
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali

(Home)
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
26 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 1
Samgurali
22 Aug
Spaeri
3 : 4
Samgurali
Page 1 of 6

Dila Gori

(Away)
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dila Gori
26 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 1
Samgurali
22 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rustavi 25 12 7 6 31:21 43
2 Dinamo Batumi 25 12 7 6 41:32 43
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 24 10 9 5 36:27 39
4 Iberia 1999 23 11 4 8 32:27 37
5 Dila Gori 24 11 3 10 31:25 36
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 25 8 9 8 38:29 33
7 Samgurali 25 9 5 11 34:46 32
8 Gagra 25 6 10 9 24:32 28
9 Spaeri 25 5 10 10 33:38 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 25 2 10 13 19:42 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)