Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samgurali host Dinamo Batumi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Samgurali have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Dinamo Batumi's 1.38 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Samgurali slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Samgurali. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Samgurali
28%
Draws
22%
Dinamo Batumi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Samgurali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Samgurali a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 17%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali Dinamo Batumi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali
3:1
Mar 12, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali
1:2
May 25, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 48 / 100
Dinamo Batumi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali Dinamo Batumi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dinamo Batumi let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Samgurali stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS Dinamo Batumi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali

(Home)
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3
Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
5 : 3
Samgurali
13 Jun
Samgurali
2 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
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Dinamo Batumi

(Away)
25 Jul
Orbi
1 : 4
Dinamo Batumi
16 Jul
Amedspor
2 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
15 Jul
Rizespor
3 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
23 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
17 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
2 : 3
Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)