Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samgurali vs FC Rustavi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samgurali host FC Rustavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Samgurali at 1.5 goals for, 1.75 against; FC Rustavi at 1.13 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Samgurali have won 2 to FC Rustavi's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Samgurali. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Samgurali
20%
Draws
38%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Samgurali at 1.5 per game, FC Rustavi at 1.13.
  • Samgurali are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 16%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali FC Rustavi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Samgurali
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi
2:1
Oct 2, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi
0:0
Sep 22, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi
2:1
Aug 7, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs Samgurali
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 41 / 100
FC Rustavi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali FC Rustavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

FC Rustavi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Samgurali has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS FC Rustavi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali

(Home)
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3
Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
5 : 3
Samgurali
13 Jun
Samgurali
2 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 6

FC Rustavi

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Tbilisi 2025
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
22 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 0
FC Rustavi
17 Jun
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
13 Jun
FC Rustavi
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
29 May
FC Rustavi
2 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)