Sport Picks
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi Prediction & H2H Stats
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo 
Match Events
15'
15'
Chikovani N.
16'
16'
Gilmore L.
27'
27'
David Oliveira
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Rustavi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Samgurali haven't matched FC Rustavi's recent run of results.
- FC Rustavi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 11%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samgurali | FC Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi
1:1
May 21, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Samgurali
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi
2:1
Oct 2, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi
0:0
Sep 22, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Rustavi
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samgurali Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsetskhladze N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
FC Rustavi Compare
Top Goalscorer Patsatsia V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samgurali 10 / 100
FC Rustavi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samgurali FC Rustavi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Rustavi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samgurali scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
FC Rustavi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Samgurali stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Samgurali VS FC Rustavi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Samgurali
(Home) 19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3 Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2 Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3 Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3 Dinamo Tbilisi
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3 Dila Gori
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
16 Aug
Samgurali
0 : 4 Dinamo Batumi
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 3
FC Rustavi
(Away) 26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2 FC Rustavi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2 Iberia 1999
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1 FC Rustavi
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1 Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2 FC Rustavi
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1 FC Rustavi
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
15 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 3 FC Rustavi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:36 | 47 |
| 2 | Iberia 1999 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 37:28 | 46 |
| 3 | FC Rustavi | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 32:23 | 46 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43:29 | 45 |
| 5 | Dila Gori | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 40 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 36 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 38:52 | 32 |
| 8 | Gagra | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:37 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:43 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 20:44 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
