Sport Picks
Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Georgian Cup 
Match Events
113'
113'
Siradze I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Meshakhte Tkibuli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Samgurali carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Meshakhte Tkibuli's way, sitting at 50%.
- Samgurali have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Samgurali, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Samgurali have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 18%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samgurali | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 Georgian Cup
Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:0
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali
0:0
Nov 11, 2019 Liga 3
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samgurali Compare
Top Goalscorer Siradze I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samgurali 23 / 100
Meshakhte Tkibuli 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samgurali Meshakhte Tkibuli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samgurali's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Meshakhte Tkibuli has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Samgurali has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Samgurali VS Meshakhte Tkibuli
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Samgurali
(Home) 19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3 Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2 Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3 Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3 Dinamo Tbilisi
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3 Dila Gori
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
16 Aug
Samgurali
0 : 4 Dinamo Batumi
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 3
Meshakhte Tkibuli
(Away) 19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1 FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2 Spaeri
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2 Meshakhte Tkibuli
16 Aug
Dila Gori
3 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
