Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Zita K.
21'
Mamuchashvili V.
31' Event
Claudio Cebolinha

AI Match Summary

Samgurali in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samgurali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Samgurali
20%
Draws
38%
Torpedo Kutaisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Torpedo Kutaisi have won more games recently than Samgurali.
  • Samgurali are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Torpedo Kutaisi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 13%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali Torpedo Kutaisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:1
Apr 21, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
6:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:4
Sep 13, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Claudio Cebolinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shatirishvili M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Andric K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 40 / 100
Torpedo Kutaisi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali Torpedo Kutaisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Torpedo Kutaisi conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Samgurali has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS Torpedo Kutaisi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411