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Samoa U17 W vs Tonga U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 Women 2016
Samoa U17 W Logo

Samoa U17 W

1 - 4
FT
Tonga U17 W Logo

Tonga U17 W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tonga U17 W in this OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonga U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Samoa U17 W
15%
Draws
85%
Tonga U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonga U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Samoa U17 W haven't matched Tonga U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Samoa U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Samoa U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Tonga U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samoa U17 W Tonga U17 W
Matches Played 6 6
Wins 0 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 5.67 7.67
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 3.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2016 OFC Championship U16 Women
Samoa U17 W vs Tonga U17 W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samoa U17 W 83 / 100
Tonga U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samoa U17 W Tonga U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tonga U17 W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Samoa U17 W scored in 33% of their last 6 games.

Scoring Trends

Samoa U17 W VS Tonga U17 W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.67
5.67 Goals Conceded 7.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Samoa U17 W

(Home)
25 Oct
Samoa U17 W
0 : 4
Nigeria U17 W
22 Oct
Samoa U17 W
0 : 6
Canada U17 W
19 Oct
France U17 W
4 : 2
Samoa U17 W
19 Jan
Samoa U17 W
0 : 5
New Caledonia U17 W
16 Jan
Samoa U17 W
1 : 4
Tonga U17 W
Page 1 of 2

Tonga U17 W

(Away)
19 Jan
Tonga U17 W
0 : 13
New Zealand U17 W
16 Jan
Samoa U17 W
1 : 4
Tonga U17 W
14 Jan
New Caledonia U17 W
5 : 0
Tonga U17 W
16 Apr
Tonga U17 W
0 : 18
New Zealand U17 W
14 Apr
Tonga U17 W
0 : 5
Solomon Islands U17 W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 W 3 3 0 0 36:0 9
2 New Caledonia U17 W 3 2 0 1 10:12 6
3 Tonga U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:19 3
4 Samoa U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea U17 W 3 2 1 0 11:4 7
2 Fiji U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Cook Islands U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Vanuatu U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:14 3
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)