Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca Estadio Lourival Gomes

Sampaio Correa FE

2 - 1

Marica

Our Tip

Match Events

Pablo

Almir Silva

38'

Landini E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca game between Sampaio Correa FE and Marica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa FE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sampaio Correa FE

44%

Draws

20%

Marica

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Marica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sampaio Correa FE.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Carioca provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 26%

Marica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sampaio Correa FE	Marica
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	11
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	0.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.67	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.67	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie D

Sampaio Correa FE vs Marica

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Apr 18, 2026 Serie D

Marica vs Sampaio Correa FE

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Feb 26, 2026 Carioca

Sampaio Correa FE vs Marica

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Feb 12, 2026 Carioca

Marica vs Sampaio Correa FE

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Jan 27, 2026 Carioca

Marica vs Sampaio Correa FE

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Gama

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ewerton Potiguar

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Marica Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes L. B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 38 / 100

Marica 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sampaio Correa FE Marica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Marica let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sampaio Correa FE went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marica lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE VS Marica

0.5 Goals Scored 1

0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88

33% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
2	Sampaio Correa FE	6	3	1	2	10:8	10
3	Nova Iguacu	6	1	4	1	7:6	7
4	Marica	6	1	1	4	6:15	4