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Sampaio Correa FE vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE Logo

Sampaio Correa FE

2 - 0
FT
Resende Logo

Resende

Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Alexandre Souza
69' Event
Paulo Victor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sampaio Correa FE
20%
Draws
23%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa FE haven't matched Resende's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sampaio Correa FE's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Resende arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sampaio Correa FE, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sampaio Correa FE here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Resende
2:0
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE
0:1
Jun 21, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexandre Souza
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Resende Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 77 / 100
Resende 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampaio Correa FE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sampaio Correa FE scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Resende let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Sampaio Correa FE remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE VS Resende
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa FE

(Home)
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1
Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1
Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3