Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
Alexandre Souza
69'
69'
Paulo Victor
AI Match Summary
Sampaio Correa FE in this Copa Rio tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Resende haven't matched Sampaio Correa FE's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sampaio Correa FE's way, sitting at 60%.
- Sampaio Correa FE have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sampaio Correa FE, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sampaio Correa FE here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sampaio Correa FE | Resende |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.86 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Resende
2:0
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE
0:1
Jun 21, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs Sampaio Correa FE
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sampaio Correa FE Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexandre Souza
1 Goals Assists Leader Paulo Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43
Resende Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sampaio Correa FE 68 / 100
Resende 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sampaio Correa FE Resende
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sampaio Correa FE scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Resende let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Solid form: Sampaio Correa FE remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sampaio Correa FE VS Resende
0.86 Goals Scored 2.13
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
43% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sampaio Correa FE
(Home) 22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0 Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jun
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Portuguesa
07 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 7
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0 Resende
20 Jun
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Portuguesa
30 May
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Velo Clube
23 May
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Marica
02 May
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Piracicaba
Page 1 of 4
Resende
(Away) 22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0 Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1 Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE
11 Jul
Resende
1 : 0 Marica
04 Jul
Resende
1 : 2 Americano
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0 Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1 Resende
27 Jun
Audax RJ
2 : 0 Resende
17 Jun
Belford Roxo
1 : 3 Resende
13 Jun
Bonsucesso
0 : 1 Resende
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Americano1
Portuguesa RJ2
Bonsucesso3
Madureira4
Perolas Negras0
Marica3
CEAC/Araruama0
Boavista5
Olaria3
Bangu1
America RJ1
Nova Iguacu2
Sao Goncalo2
Volta Redonda1
Resende0
Sampaio Correa FE3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ-
Madureira-
Marica-
Boavista-
Olaria-
Nova Iguacu-
Sao Goncalo-
Sampaio Correa FE-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
