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Sampaio Correa U20 vs Porto Velho U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa U20 play Porto Velho U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sampaio Correa U20 averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2 conceded. Porto Velho U20 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Sampaio Correa U20 won 1, Porto Velho U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 7, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Sampaio Correa U20 and 1.94 for Porto Velho U20. This points to a Porto Velho U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sampaio Correa U20
27%
Draws
39%
Porto Velho U20
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Porto Velho U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa U20 picked up more points recently compared to Porto Velho U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sampaio Correa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Porto Velho U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa U20 Porto Velho U20
Matches Played 27 22
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2023 Copa do Brasil U20
Porto Velho U20 vs Sampaio Correa U20
1:1
Aug 30, 2023 Copa do Brasil U20
Sampaio Correa U20 vs Porto Velho U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pepeu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Porto Velho U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alifi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa U20 33 / 100
Porto Velho U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa U20 Porto Velho U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Porto Velho U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sampaio Correa U20 attacking → ← attacking Porto Velho U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa U20 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Porto Velho U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sampaio Correa U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Porto Velho U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 31
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13