Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampaio Correa vs Sao Jose (MA)

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2023 Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Warley Jr
(Penalty)
49' Event
Para
56' Event
Silva M.

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa in this Maranhense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampaio Correa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sampaio Correa
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Jose (MA)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sampaio Correa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sampaio Correa lately — more wins on the board than Sao Jose (MA).
  • Model gives Sampaio Correa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sampaio Correa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa Sao Jose (MA)
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2023 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Sao Jose (MA)
5:0
Apr 2, 2022 Maranhense
Sao Jose (MA) vs Sampaio Correa
0:0
Feb 27, 2022 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Sao Jose (MA)
1:0
Feb 23, 2021 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Sao Jose (MA)
4:0
Jan 27, 2020 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Sao Jose (MA)
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa Compare

Top Goalscorer Para
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sao Jose (MA) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa 95 / 100
Sao Jose (MA) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa Sao Jose (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (MA) has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sampaio Correa scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Sampaio Correa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa VS Sao Jose (MA)
1 Goals Scored 0.8
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.6
38% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa

(Home)
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
07 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 1
Iguatu
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
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Sao Jose (MA)

(Away)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sampaio Correa431014:310
2Pinheiro421112:47
3Chapadinha41128:84
4IAPE41125:74
Promotion - Maranhense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maranhao42208:38
2Moto Club42025:56
3Cordino EC41215:65
4Sao Jose (MA)40044:250
Promotion - Maranhense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)