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Sampdoria vs Avellino Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Pandolfi L.
32'
Brunori M.
42'
Palmiero L.

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampdoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sampdoria
20%
Draws
51%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Avellino have won more games recently than Sampdoria.
  • Model gives Avellino a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 11%
Avellino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Avellino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.9 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Avellino
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Sampdoria
2:1
Mar 20, 1988 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Avellino
2:0
Nov 8, 1987 Serie A
Avellino vs Sampdoria
1:2
Apr 26, 1987 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Avellino
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunori M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palma M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Biasci T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 27 / 100
Avellino 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avellino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sampdoria scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Avellino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sampdoria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Avellino
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
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Avellino

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)