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Sampdoria vs Empoli

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Pierini N.
60'
Sub
Nasti M. In: Popov B.
Out: Nasti M.
60'
Sub
Saporiti E. In: Ceesay J.
Out: Saporiti E.

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampdoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sampdoria
15%
Draws
51%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Empoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Empoli haven't matched Sampdoria's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 22%
Empoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Empoli
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Empoli
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Serie B
Empoli vs Sampdoria
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Sampdoria
0:2
May 15, 2023 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Empoli
1:1
Jan 16, 2023 Serie A
Empoli vs Sampdoria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Empoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 32 / 100
Empoli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Empoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sampdoria scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Empoli let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Empoli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Empoli
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
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Empoli

(Away)
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)