Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampdoria vs Empoli

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Pierini N.
60'
Sub
Nasti M. In: Popov B.
Out: Nasti M.
60'
Sub
Saporiti E. In: Ceesay J.
Out: Saporiti E.

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampdoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sampdoria
33%
Draws
27%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sampdoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Empoli haven't matched Sampdoria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sampdoria a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 68%
Empoli Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Empoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Empoli
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Serie B
Empoli vs Sampdoria
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Sampdoria
0:2
May 15, 2023 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Empoli
1:1
Jan 16, 2023 Serie A
Empoli vs Sampdoria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Empoli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 50 / 100
Empoli 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sampdoria scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Empoli let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sampdoria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Empoli
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Sampdoria
1 : 0
Sudtirol
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

Empoli

(Away)
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
25 Apr
Venezia
2 : 0
Empoli
19 Apr
Empoli
1 : 1
Entella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)