Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampdoria vs Padova

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Villa L.
22'
Ricci M.
25'
Henderson L.

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampdoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sampdoria
11%
Draws
9%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sampdoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sampdoria have won more games recently than Padova.
  • Sampdoria are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Padova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Padova
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Padova vs Sampdoria
1:1
Jul 25, 2018 Club Friendly
Sampdoria vs Padova
1:0
Jan 14, 2012 Serie B
Padova vs Sampdoria
1:2
Aug 25, 2011 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Padova
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 86 / 100
Padova 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampdoria found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Padova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sampdoria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Padova
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Sampdoria
1 : 0
Sudtirol
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
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Padova

(Away)
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
01 May
Padova
1 : 0
Pescara
25 Apr
Entella
1 : 0
Padova
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)