Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampdoria vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Bani M.
34'
Pierozzi N.
40'
Gomes C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sampdoria
6%
Draws
90%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Palermo have won more games recently than Sampdoria.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 17%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Palermo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Palermo
3:3
Dec 12, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Palermo
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
1:1
May 17, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Sampdoria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pierini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Augello T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceccaroni P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 10 / 100
Palermo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sampdoria scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sampdoria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Palermo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Palermo
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Sampdoria
1 : 0
Sudtirol
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
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Palermo

(Away)
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)