Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampdoria vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Molina S.
31' Event
Abildgaard O.
Assist: Brunori M.
53'
Palma M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Sampdoria and Sudtirol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampdoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sampdoria
30%
Draws
47%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sampdoria come out ahead of Sudtirol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sudtirol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 12%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Sudtirol
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.94 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Sudtirol
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Sudtirol
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Sudtirol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Abildgaard O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sudtirol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 10 / 100
Sudtirol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sampdoria scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Sudtirol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sampdoria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Sudtirol
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
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Sudtirol

(Away)
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)