Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampion Celje vs NK Smartno

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2024/2025
Sampion Celje Logo

Sampion Celje

3 - 7
FT
NK Smartno Logo

NK Smartno

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NK Smartno in this 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored NK Smartno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Sampion Celje
15%
Draws
68%
NK Smartno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NK Smartno lately — more wins on the board than Sampion Celje.
  • Win probability leans NK Smartno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampion Celje NK Smartno
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.1 2
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs NK Smartno
3:7
Nov 3, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Sampion Celje
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Sampion Celje
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs NK Smartno
2:5
May 7, 2023 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Sampion Celje
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampion Celje 10 / 100
NK Smartno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampion Celje NK Smartno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Sampion Celje scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: NK Smartno conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Sampion Celje remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampion Celje VS NK Smartno
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampion Celje

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Videm
1 : 0
Sampion Celje
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
Page 1 of 6

NK Smartno

(Away)
03 Oct
NK Smartno
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krsko Posavje 26 17 3 6 64:26 54
2 NK Brezice 26 15 5 6 54:32 50
3 SD Videm 26 15 4 7 48:30 49
4 NK Smartno 26 12 4 10 69:54 40
5 Hajdina 26 11 6 9 45:39 39
6 Ljutomer 26 11 5 10 34:43 38
7 Korotan Prevalje 26 10 6 10 39:42 36
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 9 9 8 43:47 36
9 Zavrc 26 9 7 10 44:44 34
10 Podvinci 26 7 11 8 36:38 32
11 Fuzinar 26 9 3 14 40:45 30
12 Dobrovce 26 9 3 14 43:51 30
13 Starse 26 6 5 15 33:62 23
14 Sampion Celje 26 5 3 18 29:68 18
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)