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Sampion Celje vs Podvinci Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Plevcak P.
61' Event
Fridl T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. SNL - East matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sampion Celje
15%
Draws
64%
Podvinci
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Podvinci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Podvinci have won more games recently than Sampion Celje.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%
Podvinci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampion Celje Podvinci
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Podvinci
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Sampion Celje
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Podvinci
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Sampion Celje
7:0
Oct 7, 2023 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Podvinci
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampion Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Plevcak P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Podvinci Compare

Top Goalscorer Fridl T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampion Celje 34 / 100
Podvinci 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampion Celje Podvinci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podvinci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sampion Celje's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Podvinci let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Sampion Celje has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampion Celje VS Podvinci
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampion Celje

(Home)
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
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Podvinci

(Away)
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Podvinci
0 : 1
Race
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 0
Korotan Prevalje
05 Sept
NK Ormoz
0 : 2
Podvinci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 7 6 1 0 24:11 19
2 Fuzinar 7 5 0 2 23:16 15
3 NK Ormoz 7 4 1 2 17:11 13
4 NK Smartno 7 4 1 2 18:14 13
5 Podvinci 8 4 1 3 13:15 13
6 Hajdina 8 3 3 2 16:15 12
7 NK Carda Martjanci 7 3 2 2 18:13 11
8 Korotan Prevalje 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
9 Ljutomer 8 2 2 4 12:12 8
10 SD Videm 8 2 2 4 14:19 8
11 Race 7 1 3 3 7:9 6
12 Dobrovce 7 2 0 5 8:19 6
13 Sampion Celje 7 1 1 5 11:18 4
14 Limbus-Pekre 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
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