Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampion Celje vs Smarje

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sampion Celje in this 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampion Celje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sampion Celje
15%
Draws
42%
Smarje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sampion Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sampion Celje lately — more wins on the board than Smarje.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Sampion Celje taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sampion Celje here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 15%
Smarje Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampion Celje Smarje
Matches Played 45 35
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 22 24
Goals Scored 1.91 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Sampion Celje
1:4
Oct 30, 2021 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Smarje
1:0
May 15, 2021 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Sampion Celje
0:1
Aug 22, 2020 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Sampion Celje
3:4
Mar 24, 2018 3. SNL - North
Sampion Celje vs Smarje
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampion Celje 84 / 100
Smarje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampion Celje Smarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampion Celje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smarje has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sampion Celje scored in 73% of their last 45 games.

Away concern: Smarje has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampion Celje VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampion Celje

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Videm
1 : 0
Sampion Celje
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
Page 1 of 9

Smarje

(Away)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)