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Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Thu, Apr 23, 2026
0 - 1
03:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Eskihellac M.
20'
Ndiaye C.
22'
Coulibaly T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Trabzonspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Samsunspor
15%
Draws
57%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trabzonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Samsunspor haven't matched Trabzonspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Trabzonspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Trabzonspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Trabzonspor, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 14%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Trabzonspor
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Turkish Cup
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
1:1
May 25, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 10 / 100
Trabzonspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trabzonspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trabzonspor conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Samsunspor found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Trabzonspor has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Trabzonspor
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samsunspor

(Home)
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 7

Trabzonspor

(Away)
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0
Galatasaray
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1 : 0
Trabzonspor
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0
Genclerbirligi
31 Aug
Amedspor
2 : 1
Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Galatasaray 0
Genclerbirligi 2
Samsunspor 0
Trabzonspor 1
Besiktas 3
Alanyaspor 0
Konyaspor 1
Fenerbahce 0
Semi-finals
Genclerbirligi 1
Trabzonspor 2
Besiktas 0
Konyaspor 1
Final
Trabzonspor 2
Konyaspor 1