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Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Thu, Apr 23, 2026
0 - 1
03:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Eskihellac M.
20'
Ndiaye C.
22'
Coulibaly T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Trabzonspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Samsunspor
20%
Draws
38%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samsunspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Samsunspor haven't matched Trabzonspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Samsunspor's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Trabzonspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Trabzonspor, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 19%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Trabzonspor
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Turkish Cup
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
1:1
May 25, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 42 / 100
Trabzonspor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trabzonspor conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Samsunspor found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Samsunspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Trabzonspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samsunspor

(Home)
25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0
Samsunspor
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
16 May
Samsunspor
3 : 0
Goztepe
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0
Samsunspor
02 May
Samsunspor
4 : 1
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 7

Trabzonspor

(Away)
22 May
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Genclerbirligi
13 May
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
09 May
Besiktas
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
02 May
Trabzonspor
1 : 1
Goztepe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Galatasaray0
Genclerbirligi2
Samsunspor0
Trabzonspor1
Besiktas3
Alanyaspor0
Konyaspor1
Fenerbahce0
Semi-finals
Genclerbirligi1
Trabzonspor2
Besiktas0
Konyaspor1
Final
Trabzonspor2
Konyaspor1