Sport Picks

Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Samsunspor

2 - 1

Besiktas

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Satka L.

41'

Makoumbou A.

50'

Holse C.

Assist: Ntcham O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Samsunspor and Besiktas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samsunspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Samsunspor

17%

Draws

13%

Besiktas

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Samsunspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Samsunspor haven't matched Besiktas's recent run of results.
Samsunspor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Samsunspor Clean Sheet 19%

Besiktas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Samsunspor	Besiktas
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	15
Draws	5	7
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super Lig

Samsunspor vs Besiktas

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Nov 23, 2025 Super Lig

Besiktas vs Samsunspor

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Jan 18, 2025 Super Lig

Besiktas vs Samsunspor

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Aug 11, 2024 Super Lig

Samsunspor vs Besiktas

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Apr 13, 2024 Super Lig

Besiktas vs Samsunspor

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samsunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Holse C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Coulibaly T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Besiktas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 67 / 100

Besiktas 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Samsunspor Besiktas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samsunspor's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Besiktas has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Samsunspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Besiktas

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	24	5	5	77:30	77
2	Fenerbahce	34	21	11	2	77:37	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	20	9	5	61:39	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	59:40	60
5	Basaksehir	34	16	9	9	58:35	57
6	Goztepe	34	14	13	7	42:32	55
7	Samsunspor	34	13	12	9	46:45	51
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	46:52	41
9	Konyaspor	34	10	10	14	43:50	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	9	10	15	26:38	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	41:41	37
12	Gaziantep	34	9	10	15	43:58	37
13	Kasimpasa	34	8	11	15	33:49	35
14	Genclerbirligi	34	9	7	18	36:47	34
15	Eyupspor	34	8	9	17	33:48	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	8	8	18	33:55	32
17	Kayserispor	34	6	12	16	27:62	30
18	F. Karagumruk	34	8	6	20	31:54	30