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Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Samsunspor Logo

Samsunspor

0 - 2
FT
Fenerbahce Logo

Fenerbahce

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Muriqi V.
Assist: Aydin O.
16'
Sub
Kaya F. In: Sekongo A.
Out: Kaya F.
25'
Fink T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fenerbahce in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenerbahce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Samsunspor
20%
Draws
80%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fenerbahce lately — more wins on the board than Samsunspor.
  • Model gives Fenerbahce a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 13%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Fenerbahce
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
3:2
Jan 6, 2026 Super Cup
Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samsunspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Muriqi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aydin O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 10 / 100
Fenerbahce 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samsunspor found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Fenerbahce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Fenerbahce
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samsunspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3
Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6

Fenerbahce

(Away)
10 Oct
Rizespor
0 : 3
Fenerbahce
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
12 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
13 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
14 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
15 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)