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Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Thu, Apr 23, 2026
0 - 1
03:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Eskihellac M.
20'
Ndiaye C.
22'
Coulibaly T.

AI Match Summary

The Turkish Cup game between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trabzonspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Samsunspor
17%
Draws
13%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Samsunspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Samsunspor haven't matched Trabzonspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Samsunspor's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 68%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Trabzonspor
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Turkish Cup
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
1:1
May 25, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 77 / 100
Trabzonspor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samsunspor found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Trabzonspor let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Samsunspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Trabzonspor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Galatasaray0
Genclerbirligi2
Samsunspor0
Trabzonspor1
Besiktas3
Alanyaspor0
Konyaspor1
Fenerbahce0
Semi-finals
Genclerbirligi1
Trabzonspor2
Besiktas0
Konyaspor1
Final
Trabzonspor2
Konyaspor1