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Samtredia vs Bolnisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia host Bolnisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Samtredia have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Bolnisi's 1.24 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Samtredia have won 3 to Bolnisi's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 0.88, favoring Samtredia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Samtredia
20%
Draws
29%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Samtredia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Bolnisi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:2
May 2, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 85 / 100
Bolnisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bolnisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Samtredia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Bolnisi
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

Bolnisi

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)