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Samtredia vs FC Zugdidi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Fri, Sep 9, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia host FC Zugdidi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Samtredia have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against FC Zugdidi's 1.86 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Samtredia have won 2 to FC Zugdidi's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 30, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.56) back Samtredia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Samtredia
20%
Draws
29%
FC Zugdidi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samtredia come out ahead of FC Zugdidi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 15%
FC Zugdidi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia FC Zugdidi
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Samtredia
0:0
Sep 9, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs FC Zugdidi
0:0
May 28, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Samtredia
0:0
Apr 1, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs FC Zugdidi
3:1
Sep 30, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Samtredia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 84 / 100
FC Zugdidi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia FC Zugdidi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FC Zugdidi conceded in 71% of 7 recent games.

Samtredia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

FC Zugdidi

(Away)
22 May
WIT Georgia
3 : 3
FC Zugdidi
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Merani Tbilisi
3 : 0
FC Zugdidi
05 May
FC Zugdidi
4 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
29 Apr
FC Zugdidi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shukura 28 19 3 6 52:23 60
2 Spaeri 28 15 6 7 57:35 51
3 Samtredia 28 14 6 8 43:28 48
4 Merani Martvili 28 12 6 10 55:53 42
5 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 10 6 12 38:36 36
6 Merani Tbilisi 28 10 4 14 34:56 34
7 FC Rustavi 28 6 5 17 34:54 23
8 WIT Georgia 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
9 FC Zugdidi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shevardeni Tbilisi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)