Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Iberia 1999

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Georgian Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Samtredia have averaged 1.29 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Iberia 1999's 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Iberia 1999 slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2024, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.27 vs 1.69, favoring Iberia 1999. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Samtredia
44%
Draws
20%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iberia 1999 lately — more wins on the board than Samtredia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Iberia 1999 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iberia 1999, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 13%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Iberia 1999
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Iberia 1999
0:1
Aug 19, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samtredia
3:1
May 2, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Iberia 1999
0:3
Mar 10, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samtredia
2:2
Nov 3, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samtredia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 35 / 100
Iberia 1999 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IBE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samtredia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Iberia 1999 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Samtredia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Iberia 1999
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
26 Jul
Samtredia
2 : 1
Shturmi
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Samtredia
13 Jun
Samtredia
2 : 2
Kolkheti 1913
30 May
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
24 Jul
Margveti 2006
1 : 3
Iberia 1999
21 Jul
Iberia 1999
0 : 2
Slovan Bratislava
14 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 2
Flora
08 Jul
Flora
2 : 3
Iberia 1999
01 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 3
Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Guria1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Kolkheti 19130
Dusheti1
Samtredia2
Shturmi1
Margveti 20061
Iberia 19993
WIT Georgia2
Samgurali3
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Gori1
Bolnisi0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi0
Dila Gori1
Orbi1
Dinamo Batumi4
Iberia 1999 20
Telavi1
Iveria Khashuri1
Torpedo Kutaisi3
Merani Martvili1
Odishi 19192
FC Tbilisi 20250
FC Rustavi1
Dinamo Tbilisi 21
Spaeri5
Basa0
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Samtskhe1
Gagra2
1/8-finals
Guria-
Dusheti-
Samtredia-
Iberia 1999-
Samgurali-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Gori-
Dila Gori-
Dinamo Batumi-
Telavi-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Odishi 1919-
FC Rustavi-
Spaeri-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Gagra-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-