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Samtredia vs Iberia 1999 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Samtredia Logo

Samtredia

2 - 0
FT
Iberia 1999 Logo

Iberia 1999

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Chikovani T.
90' Event
Barrios E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
42%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samtredia lately — more wins on the board than Iberia 1999.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Samtredia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iberia 1999, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Iberia 1999
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Georgian Cup
Samtredia vs Iberia 1999
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Iberia 1999
0:1
Aug 19, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samtredia
3:1
May 2, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Iberia 1999
0:3
Mar 10, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samtredia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikovani T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrios E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Iberia 1999 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 85 / 100
Iberia 1999 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samtredia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Iberia 1999 let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Samtredia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Iberia 1999
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -