Sport Picks
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia 
Match Events
22'
22'
Gvasalia D.
Assist: Odikadze T.
26'
26'
Cordero Gonzalez J.
33'
33'
Patarkatsishvili L.
AI Match Summary
Samtredia in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samtredia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Samtredia have won more games recently than Merani Martvili.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samtredia | Merani Martvili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili
5:0
Jun 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili
1:4
Dec 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samtredia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gvasalia D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cordero Gonzalez J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Merani Martvili Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samtredia 85 / 100
Merani Martvili 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samtredia Merani Martvili
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Samtredia scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Merani Martvili let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Samtredia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Samtredia VS Merani Martvili
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Samtredia
(Home) 20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0 Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0 Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1 FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3 Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0 Iberia 1999
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20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0 Merani Martvili
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1 FC Gareji Sagarejo
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0 Iberia 1999
28 Aug
Samtredia
3 : 0 Odishi 1919
15 Aug
Samtredia
1 : 0 Gori
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Merani Martvili
(Away) 20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0 Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1 Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1 Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0 Merani Martvili
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2 FC Gareji Sagarejo
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20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0 Merani Martvili
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0 Merani Martvili
22 Aug
Telavi
1 : 0 Merani Martvili
08 Aug
Shturmi
2 : 1 Merani Martvili
13 Jun
Bolnisi
2 : 0 Merani Martvili
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gareji Sagarejo | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 35:28 | 50 |
| 2 | Telavi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29:25 | 43 |
| 3 | Shturmi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29:23 | 43 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 30:34 | 37 |
| 5 | Samtredia | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 48:40 | 37 |
| 6 | Dusheti | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 7 | Bolnisi | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35:34 | 33 |
| 8 | Odishi 1919 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29:37 | 32 |
| 9 | Kolkheti 1913 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:33 | 28 |
| 10 | Gori | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:35 | 27 |
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)
