Sport Picks

Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium

Samtredia

1 - 4

Merani Martvili

Our Tip

Match Events

Esonkulov J.

(Penalty)

Esonkulov J.

30'

Jolokhava A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Samtredia and Merani Martvili finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Martvili.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Samtredia

39%

Draws

30%

Merani Martvili

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Merani Martvili carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Samtredia Clean Sheet 18%

Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Samtredia	Merani Martvili
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	10
Draws	6	11
Losses	16	8
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Merani Martvili vs Samtredia

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Apr 26, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Samtredia vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Dec 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Samtredia vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Oct 5, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Merani Martvili vs Samtredia

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Aug 11, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Samtredia vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero Gonzalez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Merani Martvili Compare

Top Goalscorer Esonkulov J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ugrekhelidze G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 32 / 100

Merani Martvili 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Samtredia Merani Martvili

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Samtredia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Merani Martvili's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Samtredia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Merani Martvili

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	19	11	6	2	24:12	39
2	Telavi	19	10	5	4	22:15	35
3	Merani Martvili	19	8	6	5	23:20	30
4	Shturmi	19	6	9	4	17:14	27
5	Dusheti	19	7	4	8	18:23	25
6	Bolnisi	19	6	7	6	25:20	25
7	Odishi 1919	19	6	6	7	23:26	24
8	Kolkheti 1913	19	4	6	9	24:24	18
9	Gori	19	3	7	9	13:24	16
10	Samtredia	19	4	4	11	25:36	16