Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Getsadze R.
10'
10'
Dolidze G.
31'
31'
Mikautadze R.
AI Match Summary
The Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 game between Samtredia and Metalurgi Rustavi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samtredia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Samtredia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 17%
Metalurgi Rustavi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samtredia | Metalurgi Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Metalurgi Rustavi
2:1
Oct 18, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Samtredia
1:1
May 18, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Metalurgi Rustavi
0:4
Mar 20, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Samtredia
4:0
Dec 5, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Metalurgi Rustavi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samtredia Compare
Top Goalscorer Getsadze R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dolidze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Metalurgi Rustavi Compare
Top Goalscorer Mikautadze R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samtredia 84 / 100
Metalurgi Rustavi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samtredia Metalurgi Rustavi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samtredia scored in 88% of their last 40 games.
Metalurgi Rustavi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Samtredia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Samtredia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Samtredia
(Home) 26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2 FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0 Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0 Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1 FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3 Samtredia
Page 1 of 8
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2 FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0 Merani Martvili
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1 FC Gareji Sagarejo
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0 Iberia 1999
28 Aug
Samtredia
3 : 0 Odishi 1919
Page 1 of 5
Metalurgi Rustavi
(Away) 27 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 5 Locomotive Tbilisi
22 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
17 May
Tskhinvali
7 : 2 Metalurgi Rustavi
13 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 0 WIT Georgia
08 May
Merani Martvili
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Tskhinvali
7 : 2 Metalurgi Rustavi
08 May
Merani Martvili
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
24 Apr
Kolkheti 1913
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
19 Apr
Samtredia
2 : 1 Metalurgi Rustavi
03 Apr
FC Zestaponi
2 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dila Gori | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 50:21 | 64 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 40:24 | 58 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56:28 | 58 |
| 4 | Tskhinvali | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 47:37 | 53 |
| 5 | Chikhura Sachkhere | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Samtredia | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:31 | 45 |
| 7 | Shukura | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36:38 | 41 |
| 8 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 39:33 | 41 |
| 9 | Guria | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:43 | 39 |
| 10 | Kolkheti 1913 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Merani Martvili | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 29:33 | 36 |
| 12 | FC Zugdidi | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 13 | Bolnisi | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 32:46 | 32 |
| 14 | Metalurgi Rustavi | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:46 | 26 |
| 15 | WIT Georgia | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 27:40 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Zestaponi | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 40:61 | 26 |
Relegation - Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
